2014 ஜூலை அகவிலைப்படி உயர்வு எவ்வளவு? ஒரு கணிப்பு
Expected dearness allowance from July 2014
Recently the issue of 50% DA Merger
has reached the peak of expectations. Though the central government knew
this development, the govt has knowingly said nothing against or favor
of 50% DA Merger. Its silence on this important issue simply added the
fuel to the fire of expectation. After the Election announcement, the
hope on 50% DA merger is now slowly eroding. Many central government
employees Federations expressed their disappointment with 7th CPC Terms
of reference and merger of 50% DA was not considered by central
government. After this disappointment the central government employees
are now getting back to their routines. So they have started thinking
about what next..!
As the rate of dearness allowance
from January 2014 has been declared, the necessary order for payment of
Additional installment of Dearness Allowance from January 2014 has to be
issued by Finance Ministry. The enhanced rate of Dearness allowance
will be paid w.e.f .1.1.2014. The enhanced rate will be paid with the
disbursement of salary for the month of March 2014. The increase of
dearness allowance became due from January 2014 to February 2014 will be
paid as arrears.
Let us move on to ‘Expected dearness allowance from July 2014’
what will be the rate of DA from July 2014 ?
The AICPIN for Industrial Workers
for Seven Months from July 2013 to January 2014 have been released by
Labour Bureau. The AICPIN for last two Months i.e December2013 and
January 2014 have been declined by 4 and 2 points and pegged at 239 and
237 respectively. At present it is quite difficult to predict the trend
of the Consumer Price Index for remaining 5 Months, as so many factors
like election and policies of new government involved in it.
However, according to these seven months AICPIN, we have three Probabilities …
No
|
Probabilities
|
Expected Increase in Dearness allowance from July 2014
|
Expected DA from July 2014
|
1
|
If this declining trend continues for remaining 5 Months by 1 or 2 points
|
3%
|
103%
|
2
|
If the trend continues with movement between plus or Minus 2 points
|
5%
|
105%
|
3
|
If it continues with increasing trend by 2 points
|
7%
|
107%
|
According to the AICPIN released till now, the above possibilities have been arrived. As per above prediction the expected dearness allowance from July 2014 will be from 103% to 107%
